Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.068762 0.079894 0.092076 0.106371 0.122663 0.140626 0.161905
2025-02-02 0.053583 0.068697 0.086725 0.109711 0.138127 0.171983 0.215244
2025-02-09 0.040110 0.056235 0.077022 0.105550 0.143415 0.191641 0.257361
2025-02-16 0.031686 0.048155 0.070910 0.104233 0.151285 0.214751 0.306102
2025-02-23 0.025067 0.041058 0.064607 0.101192 0.155803 0.233321 0.350404
2025-03-02 0.020307 0.035651 0.059617 0.098907 0.160571 0.252175 0.396555
2025-03-09 0.017319 0.032389 0.057212 0.099913 0.169973 0.278297 0.455494
2025-03-16 0.014226 0.028319 0.052771 0.096850 0.172333 0.293585 0.499046
2025-03-23 0.012923 0.027153 0.052974 0.101417 0.187432 0.330106 0.579090
2025-03-30 0.011294 0.025054 0.051165 0.102129 0.195901 0.356397 0.644612
2025-04-06 0.009567 0.022420 0.047936 0.099743 0.198491 0.372804 0.694728
2025-04-13 0.008209 0.020284 0.045310 0.098066 0.202029 0.390939 0.749062
2025-04-20 0.007672 0.019873 0.046144 0.103385 0.219519 0.435925 0.855558
2025-04-27 0.007125 0.019338 0.046646 0.108102 0.236375 0.481303 0.966724
2025-05-04 0.006023 0.017257 0.043483 0.104729 0.236741 0.495842 1.022098
2025-05-11 0.005256 0.015845 0.041586 0.103794 0.241923 0.519961 1.097467
2025-05-18 0.004486 0.014254 0.039005 0.100951 0.242698 0.535371 1.157092
2025-05-25 0.003867 0.012933 0.036851 0.098766 0.244585 0.553059 1.222478
2025-06-01 0.003490 0.012222 0.036108 0.099819 0.253740 0.586380 1.321866
2025-06-08 0.002984 0.011004 0.033835 0.096784 0.253171 0.599106 1.379702
2025-06-15 0.002840 0.010894 0.034533 0.101361 0.270922 0.652615 1.527100
2025-06-22 0.002568 0.010301 0.033788 0.102079 0.279468 0.686612 1.635244
2025-06-29 0.002228 0.009391 0.031980 0.099698 0.280133 0.703041 1.706415